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The Average Stock Market Return Over the Past 10 Years

 1 year ago
source link: https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/average-stock-market-return
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The average stock market return over the past 10 years

Average stock market return over the past 10 years

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  • The S&P 500 has gained about 10.7% on average annually since it was introduced in 1957. 
  • The index has done slightly better than that in the past decade, returning about 14.7% annually.
  • Returns can fluctuate widely each year, but holding onto investments over time can help.
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The S&P 500's average annual returns over the past decade have come in at around 14.7%, beating the long-term historic average of 10.7% since the benchmark index was introduced 65 years ago.

But the stock market return you'll see today could be very different from the average stock market return over the past 10 years. There are a few reasons why you could see a bigger or smaller return than the average during any given year.

The S&P 500's return can fluctuate widely year to year

There are many stock market indexes, including the S&P 500. This index includes 500 of the largest US companies, and some investors use its performance as a measure of how well the market is doing.

Here's how the yearly annual returns from the S&P 500 have looked over the past 10 years, according to Berkshire Hathaway data that includes earnings from dividends:

YearS&P 500 annual return
201216%
201332.4%
201413.7%
20151.4%
201612%
201721.8%
2018-4.4%
201931.5%
202018.4%
202128.7

Berkshire Hathaway has tracked S&P 500 data back to 1965. According to the company's data, the compounded annual gain in the S&P 500 between 1965 and 2021 was 10.5%.

While that sounds like a good overall return, not every year has been the same.

While the S&P 500 fell more than 4% between the first and last day of 2018, its total return surged 31.5% in 2019. Plus, returns jumped from 18.4% in 2018 to 28.7% in 2021. However, when many years of returns are put together, the ups and downs start to even out.

It's worth noting that these numbers are calculated in a way that may not represent actual investing habits. The figures are based on data from the first of the year compared with the end of the year. But the typical investor doesn't buy on the first of the year and sell on the last. While they're indicative of the growth of the investment over the year, they're not necessarily representative of an actual investor's return, even in one year's time.

Also, when you're buying stocks, you're not necessarily buying the entire S&P 500. Some investors choose to buy shares of individual companies on the S&P 500. Some opt for mutual funds, which allow investors to buy a portion of several different stocks or bonds collectively. These individual mutual funds or stocks all have their own average annual returns, and that particular fund's return may not be the same as the S&P 500's. 

Plus, even if you an invest in an S&P 500 index fund, a high expense ratio — the cost of owning your shares — may reduce your overall returns to below average. And, of course, past performance does not predict future returns. Just because this is the S&P 500's average return, doesn't mean you can count on it going forward.

Buy-and-hold evens out the market's fluctuations

Investing experts, including Warren Buffett and investing author and economist Benjamin Graham, say the best way to build wealth is to keep investments for the long term, a strategy called buy-and-hold investing

There's a simple reason why this works. While investments are likely to go up and down with time, keeping them for a long period helps even out these ups-and-downs. Like the S&P 500's changes noted above, keeping investments for the long term could help investments and their returns get closer to that average. 

Personal Finance Reporter
Liz was a reporter at Insider, primarily covering personal-finance topics.  Before joining Insider, she wrote about financial and automotive topics as a freelancer for brands like LendingTree and Credit Karma.  She earned her bachelor's degree in writing from The Savannah College of Art and Design. She lives and works in Cincinnati, Ohio. Find her on Twitter at @lizknueven.
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Wealth-Building Reporter
Rickie Houston is a wealth-building reporter for Business Insider, tasked with covering brokerage products, investment apps, online advisor services, cryptocurrency exchanges, and other wealth-building financial products. He is also a Certified Educator in Personal Finance (CEPF). Previously, Rickie worked as a personal finance writer at SmartAsset, focusing on retirement, investing, taxes, and banking topics. He's contributed to stories published in the Boston Globe, and his work has also been featured in Yahoo News. He graduated from Boston University, where he contributed as a staff writer and sports editor for Boston University News Service. Learn more about how Personal Finance Insider chooses, rates, and covers financial products and services »
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